New options trade idea on Tesla as it fluctuates violently from Elon Musk’s antics!
- audry90
- Jul 8
- 1 min read
The S&P 500 has been rallying hard this July…but the run might be losing steam.
The index has now closed above its upper Bollinger Band for 8 straight sessions. That’s a classic sign of overextension and often signals a pullback is near.
Most of the upside is being driven by just a few mega-cap names like NVDA, AAPL, and MSFT. When a rally gets this narrow, it raises the risk of a broader correction.
Trade Idea: Bearish Credit Spread on TSLA
TSLA looks especially vulnerable right now—not just technically, but because of growing analyst concerns about Musk’s political distractions. Building a third party takes time and focus, and that may come at the expense of running the company.
Here’s one way to play it:
Sell Aug 15 $360 Call
Buy Aug 15 $365 Call
Break-even: ~$361
Max profit if TSLA stays below $360
Current price: $301.60
That’s nearly 20% cushion
~90% probability of profit
This is not necessarily a trade I’m taking… but it’s a new idea that’s come up due to the volatility of a well known name.
With credit spreads, you need liquidity to get filled… and Tesla sees huge volume. Plus, a nice potential winner here at 90% probability.
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